The Predictive Services section of the National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC) has issued their Wildland Fire Potential Outlook for June through September, 2014.
According to NIFC modeling, the highest wildfire potential will be in:
- California, Oregon, Washington, Nevada, and Arizona
- Alaska
From NIFC:
“The May, June, and July through August 2014 significant wildland fire potential forecasts included in this outlook represent the cumulative forecasts of the eleven Geographic Area Predictive Services Units and the National Predictive Services Unit.
June
- Above normal fire potential will persist over much of California, southern Arizona, and southwestern New Mexico. Central Alaska and the southeast interior will also experience above normal fire potential. Portions of Northern California, Oregon and Nevada will increase to above normal fire potential as well.
- Below normal fire potential will continue for much of the eastern half of the U.S., with the notable exception of the Great Lakes, Northeast and south Atlantic states.
July
- Above normal fire potential will continue over most of California, Nevada and Oregon. Portions of Washington and Idaho will also experience above normal fire potential. Above normal fire potential will reduce to near normal conditions in Alaska and the Southwest. Fire potential will become above normal in the eastern Great Lakes states.
- Below normal fire potential will develop over northern Idaho, Montana and portions of Wyoming and Colorado. Portions of Texas and the southeast will also continue to see below normal fire potential.
August through September
- Above normal fire potential will remain over most of California, Nevada and Oregon. Portions of Washington and Idaho will also continue with above normal fire potential. Fire potential will expand to cover most of the Northeast.
- Below normal fire potential over the northern Rocky Mountains will return to normal, while portions of the south central U.S. remain lower.”
